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Reference

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How many forges to get a Greatsword in +1 Loot To Forge?

Not sure what chance to type? See the recipe table on /forge-recipes. Sword list: +1 Loot To Forge sword recipes.

How many forges to get a Greatsword?

Chance of at least one Greatsword across attempts. Each forge is treated as an independent roll — this is a math estimate, not a game rule.

Enter a Preview chance to see attempts for 50% / 90% / 99% confidence.

Chance of at least one success

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Enter Preview chance and Attempts to see the chance of at least one success.

Chance of zero successes
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Expected successes
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Quick reference from recorded Previews

Total ores → Preview chance for each class, from recorded forge Previews. Open a source for the video timestamp.

Heavy Helmet

Heavy Helmet Preview totals
Total ores Preview chance Source
14 65% Community data (YouTube) · DUTAO · 2026-09-29 · 4:33

FAQ

How many forges do I need to get a Greatsword?

It depends on the chance in your Preview. At 65% you need about 3 forges for a 90% chance; at 13 or more ores the Preview has shown Greatsword 100%, so one forge is enough.

Does the forge chance calculator know my odds?

No. Type the chance from your forge Preview. The calculator does not fill in a rate for you.

Which chance do I type into the forge calculator?

Use the chance in your forge Preview. Class chances that were shown are notes on the forge recipes page. This calculator does not copy them in.

Does the forge chance calculator give the odds of one weapon?

No. Type the class chance from your forge Preview. That chance is for a weapon class, not one named weapon. A weapon that came out of a class is not a fixed ore list. Those notes are on the forge recipes page.

What do the forge calculator results mean?

Chance of at least one success is the chance that class hits at least once in the attempts you typed, if every attempt uses that same Preview chance and each forge is counted separately. Chance of zero successes is the rest. Expected successes is the attempts times that chance. A Preview of 100% makes at least one success certain. A Preview of 0% makes it none.

Does the +1 Loot To Forge forge have pity?

Not confirmed yet. The calculator counts each forge separately and does not add a pity bonus.

Updated .